Buffalo Bills: Early projections for Josh Allen in 2023

Last year was an up-and-down season for Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen.

While he went for over 5,000 yards from scrimmage and 42 total touchdowns, he also led the league in turnovers. In fact, his 23 turnovers between the regular season and playoffs were the most by any player over the past three seasons.

Now going into a crucial 2023 campaign, Allen and the Bills face a schedule that includes a brutal stretch in the latter half. But, they wouldn't have it any other way. This team has a Super Bowl on their mind, as does the fan base.

For them to get there, Allen is going to have to put forth a season for the books, and in our early projection, that's exactly what he does.

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is going to put together his best overall season as a pro in 2023

2023 season stat projection

389/596 (66.3 percent)

4,513 yards

39 passing touchdowns

11 interceptions

101 rushes

609 rushing yards

5 rushing touchdowns

As you can see, Allen cuts back on the interceptions, but more importantly, he'll more than cut his lost fumbles in half. Last year, he lost 13 fumbles, which led the league. In 2023, we're projecting Allen to lose only five.

Worst game: Week 12 @ Philadelphia Eagles

The reigning NFC champions completely reloaded on defense this offseason, especially through the draft. In a difficult game right before the bye week, Allen indeed struggles against last year's top passing defense. He'll finish with just 220 passing yards, zero touchdowns, two interceptions and the Bills will get grounded before taking a week off.

Best game: Week 14 @ Kansas City Chiefs

After a brutal performance against the Eagles and a bye week to recoup and get better, Allen delivers his best game of the season in the late window and in arguably Week 14's best, most-anticipated game, against the Kansas City Chiefs. Allen against Mahomes is always must-see television, and these two teams are going to put on what might go down as the game of the year.

If you're a bettor, make sure you smash whatever the over is in this one, because both teams are scoring over 30, without question. Allen finishes with 340 passing yards and five total touchdowns, with one of them coming on the ground.

Accounting for over 5,100 total yards and 44 total touchdowns, Allen is going to be in the thick of the NFL MVP conversation when all is said and done. The only question will be, does he help the Bills to the number one seed in the AFC?