The last game of the NFL season might just be the biggest game of the NFL season as the AFC East is up for grabs between the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins on Sunday Night Football.
If you want to find out the betting odds for the game, as well as my best bet, you can find them in my full betting preview here.
In this article, I'm going to break down my three favorite prop bets for this game. With it being the last game of the season and a big one for both teams, we might as well place a couple of extra bets just for fun.
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Bills vs. Dolphins prop bets
- Josh Allen OVER 241.5 passing yards
- Stefon Diggs OVER 5.5 receptions
- Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 267.5 passing yards
Josh Allen OVER 241.5 passing yards
Josh Allen had one of his best games of the year back in Week 4 against the Dolphins, throwing for 320 yards and four touchdowns while only having four incompletions. I see no reason why he can't have another similar performance against this Dolphins secondary in a must-win game for the Bills.
The Dolphins have given up 6.4 yards per pass attempt this season, which ranks 15th in the NFL.
Stefon Diggs OVER 5.5 receptions
Stefon Diggs has had a quiet second half of the season, but even when he's not putting up big numbers, he hasn't hauled in fewer than four catches since Week 10 against the Broncos. Now, he gets to face a Dolphins team that he torched for six receptions and 120 yards and three touchdowns back in Week 4.
Expect a massive bounce back game for Diggs tonight with the AFC East on the line.
Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 267.5 passing yards
The Bills have had one of the best secondaries in the NFL in the second half of the season. Since Week 10, they're third in the NFL in opponent dropback EPA and 10th in opponent dropback success rate. For the year as a whole, they're sixth in opponent yards per pass attempt giving up just 6.0 yards per pass.
Tua Tagovailoa could be in for a long day, especially with Jaylen Waddle expected to be sidelined with an injury. I'll take the UNDER on his passing yards total.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
You can check out all of Iain's bets here!