At 1 o’clock on Sunday the Buffalo Bills will kickoff week 3 against the Denver Broncos.
The Buffalo Bills are currently 3 point underdogs against the Denver Broncos, per SportsBookReview.com. According to said sports book, there is more money being placed on the Broncos to cover than for the Bills against the spread.
Vegas Odds:
Buffalo Bills vs. Carolina Panthers (-3)
Over/Under: 40 points
Money Line: Buffalo (+145) @ Carolina (-165)
The 3 point spread for this game seems a little thin. The Broncos are 2-0 coming off of two impressive wins against the Los Angeles Chargers and the Dallas Cowboys. Trevor Siemian is a young quarterback who has been improving each and every week.
The point spread could go either way, but the Vegas odds i don’t understand is the O/U. The Bills were in a defensive 3-9 battle last week against the Carolina Panthers, and only put up 21 against the New York Jets. The Denver Broncos will put up points, but the question is how many?
Weather Report
Sunny
High 86 degrees / Low 64 degrees
Precipitation: 10%
Humidity: 66%
Wind: 7 mph
Predictions
Every one of the ESPN analysts selected the Denver Broncos to take down the Buffalo Bills this week. Keep in mind that the same analysts picked the Panthers to beat the Bills and it was closer than most thought it would be.
FiveThirtyEight, a respected sports analytics site gives the Denver Broncos a 55% chance to win this game. FiveThirtyEight lessened the spread and set it at Broncos -1.5. This is an interesting take on the game especially since the Bills have been struggling on offense and the Broncos have one of the top defenses in the NFL.
My prediction: Last week’s prediction could not have been more off. I thought the Bills would take home a 20-17 win, but I didn’t account for a defensive stand still. I am less confident in the game this week, and predict that the Bills fall to the Broncos 13-27.
Next: Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers: Risers and Fallers
Do you agree with my prediction? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!