The Buffalo Bills for the third straight year have made it to the AFC Divisional Round and once again see a familiar foe in the Kansas City Chiefs. It is expected to be another exciting game and another chapter in what is becoming a storied rivalry between Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen.
This will be the seventh meeting between the two franchises since the 2020 season. While the Bills have had success during the regular season against Kansas City (winning the last three matchups) they have yet to beat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the playoffs (losing the last two games).
However, this year the game is going to be in Orchard Park at Highmark Stadium. It will actually be the first playoff game that Patrick Mahomes is playing on the road in his career.
In the past, the Chiefs have built their success around a high-powered offense led by Mahomes but this year it is the defense that has helped get them to this point. They finished the regular season allowing the second fewest points per game at 17.3 points but the Bills defense wasn't far behind as they allowed only 18.3 points per game.
When looking at this matchup, I would expect a similar type of game from earlier this season. In their first meeting, the Bills would squeak out a 20-17 victory and neither team had more than 350 total yards of offense.
At this point, there probably isn't much either team will do to surprise the other. The deciding factor ultimately will come down to which team commits the fewer mistakes. It should be a close game where neither team really gets ahead much.
However, being at home gives the Buffalo Bills enough of an edge that they are able to secure a victory and head to the AFC Championship Game for the first time since the 2020 season.