Chiefs vs. Bills best NFL prop bets for divisional round
The Buffalo Bills will once again face the Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL Playoffs, but this time around they'll play as the home team.
If you're looking to place a few bets on the game, allow me to present to you three different player props that are great wagers to get in on.
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Chiefs vs. Bills player props
- James Cook OVER 60.5 rushing yards
- Stefon Diggs OVER 62.5 receiving yards
- Patrick Mahomes UNDER 258.5 passing yards
James Cook OVER 60.5 rushing yards
The path to success for the Bills is by running the football. The weakness of this Chiefs team is their run defense, ranking 23rd in opponent yards per carry, 28th in opponent rush EPA, and 17th in opponent rush success rate.
The last time these two teams played, James Cook averaged 5.8 yards per carry. If he can produce at that rate again on Sunday, he's going to soar over this total and put the Bills in a great spot to win.
Stefon Diggs OVER 62.5 receiving yards
Stefon Diggs went through a stretch in the middle of the season where he struggled to put up big numbers. That issue seems to have been fixed as he's put up two straight seven-catch games, combined for 139 yards.
When the Bills go to the air, they'd be smart to target Diggs as often as possible. Big players make big plays in big games, and Diggs is absolutely a big player.
Patrick Mahomes UNDER 258.5 passing yards
The Bills secondary got better as the season went on and they currently rank third in opponent dropback EPA dating back to Week 10. Much like the Bills, the Chiefs would likely be smart to run the football in an attempt to win this game, which is going to limit Patrick Mahomes' passing numbers.
I have faith in the Bills' pass defense to keep Mahomes in check on Sunday night.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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