Best NFL Prop Bets for Bills vs. Bears in Week 16 (Bear weather doesn’t scare Buffalo)

Buffalo Bills, Josh Allen (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)
Buffalo Bills, Josh Allen (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images) /

It’ll be Bear weather up in Chicago, but that’s not anything the Buffalo Bills should be afraid of. They hung 32 points on Miami in the snow last week, so freezing temperatures and wind shouldn’t slow this offense up. The Bills are trying to hold onto the top seed in the AFC with their big, physical, athletic, rocket-armed quarterback, and the Bears can dream about what the future could look like with their big, physical, athletic, rocket-armed QB.

The Bills have had a few close calls lately, so they’re due for a blowout win and as long as the wind doesn’t level the playing field too much, they should get it in Chicago. In that case, I’ve put together some fun props because weather in the Windy City doesn’t mean no points.

Best NFL Prop Bets for Bills vs. Bears

Bills vs. Bears 1st Half Over 20 (-105)
Josh Allen Under 50.5 Rush Yards (-114)
Justin Fields Anytime Touchdown (+195)

Bills vs. Bears 1st Half Over 20 (-105)

The Bills have one of the best first half offenses in the NFL this year. They’re averaging 16.4 points and Chicago is middle of the pack at 10.4 points in the first half. I could see a scenario where Buffalo covers this on their own and then takes their foot off the gas in the second half. If not, Chicago is the type of team that’s built for bad weather, they run the ball very well, they average a league best 186.9 yards on the ground.

Josh Allen Over 50.5 Rush Yards (-114)

This could be the type of game where Josh Allen can’t throw the ball well because of the wind, and we’ve seen him do this before. When we get down to the end of the season, Allen becomes the Bills running game. Last week, he ran for 77 yards on 10 carries. He was the team’s leading rusher and at the end of the game he was doing everything. He’s averaging 6.5 yards a carry this year and Chicago’s run defense isn’t exactly a strength. The Bears allow the sixth most rushing yards to opponents.

Justin Fields Anytime Touchdown (+195)

Fields has run for seven touchdowns over the past seven starts after having just one in his first six. He might be the most dynamic runner in the NFL, not just the most dynamic running quarterback. Last week, Raheem Mostert shredded the Bills defense for 136 yards on 17 carries. I can’t imagine the Bears trusting him to throw when they’re down in the red zone, especially with Equanimeous St. Brown out and Chase Claypool doubtful.

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