These are the ceiling and floor projections for Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen entering 2020.
There is no question that this coming season is going to be pivotal for Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen. The Bills drafted Allen with the seventh overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft and he stepped in almost immediately as a rookie, even though that may not have been the plan.
The coaching staff was forced to play Allen due to the underwhelming performance by Nathan Peterman as starting quarterback early in the season. While Josh Allen had his struggles, he also showed promise and built on that last year. He continued to show promise and improved on a number of statistical categories, like a six percent increase in completion percentage.
This year though, the Buffalo Bills are looking to Josh Allen to take that next step in his career because this offense is one of the most talented the franchise has had in some time. The key to this group is going to be Josh Allen and these are the ceiling and floor projections for him in his third year in the NFL.
Ceiling/Floor projections for Josh Allen in 2020
Ceiling: If everything clicks for Josh Allen this coming season, there is certainly the potential for an MVP-type season. This seems a little surprising to say, but this what the ceiling is for the third-year quarterback.
Josh Allen has excellent weapons around him now in Stefon Diggs, John Brown, Cole Beasley as well as strong stable of running backs with Devin Singletary and Zack Moss. If he is able to get the ball to his playmakers quickly and let them work, this offense could be in line for a big year.
However, the difference maker and what could make the 2020 season MVP-worthy, is his ability to make plays with his legs. When a player is able to add that rushing element, like Lamar Jackson did last year with over 1,200 yards or Cam Newton in 2015 with 10 rushing touchdowns, it is an aspect that sets him apart from the rest of the field.
If Josh Allen can improve his completion percentage, pushing it over 60% this coming season while keeping turnovers at a minimum, he could be in the discussion for the MVP award this year.
Floor: Josh Allen may be one of those players with the highest floor but also the lowest ceiling. While the Buffalo Bills quarterback has looked great at times, almost unstoppable because of his athletic ability, he can make mistakes that makes fans look away.
There are times where Josh Allen trusts his physical gifts too much and this usually results in poor decisions. If the offense doesn’t take that next step, or if he struggles to build a connection with Stefon Diggs, and the pressure to move the offense falls on Allen he will likely regress to numbers similar to what he did as a rookie.
His first year in the league, Allen completed only 52.8% of his passes while throwing for 2,074 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in 12 games. On a per game basis this would be 2,765 passing yards, 13 touchdowns and 16 interceptions.
At the end of the day, he probably will finish somewhere in the middle where he once again shows some improvements but not to the level of being considered for an MVP award in 2020.