5) Josh Allen, Wyoming
6-foot-5, 230 pounds
Analysis: He is every NFL owner’s dream when it comes to size and arm strength. His big frame suggests he can see the field clearly and his arm allows him to make every throw. He also has a great ability to escape defenders and can tuck and run for big gains. His physical tools can’t be disputed.
He was held back at Wyoming due to the lack of elite prospects surrounding him on offense. This led to a low 56.3 percent completion rate.
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I’m much lower on Allen than most evaluators because I have seen this story before.
There have been other college QBs that enter the NFL with a low completion percentage but are drafted early because they have the size and arm strength that teams dream of (Jake Locker, Kyle Boller, Patrick Ramsey).
Allen also has a problem with his decision-making. I believe he tries to force the ball into coverage more than he needs to. This happens often from guys with big arms (I call it Brett Favre syndrome).
Overall,I still don’t think he should be considered a first-round pick, or even a top 15 guy. He needs a lot of work and can potentially succeed with time behind a veteran quarterback.
Pro Comparison: Kyle Boller
Projected landing spot: New York Jets
Allen needs to be treated as a project. The Jets traded up to grab the future face of the franchise, and I think it’ll be Allen. They brought back Josh McCown and took a flyer on Teddy Bridgewater, so he will likely sit throughout the season.