As a former fourth round pick out of UCF, Gabriel Davis has made a splash in Western New York with the Buffalo Bills. While he has not become a star receiver, he has been a target that Josh Allen loves to throw to. He has been up and down with consistency, but when he is on point, he is a dangerous second weapon for the Bills passing attack. In 2023, Davis only recorded four games where he scored more than ten fantasy points.
His biggest breakout game took place in Week 5 versus the Pittsburgh Steelers where he brought in three catches for 171 yards and two touchdowns. His first touchdown reception went for 98 yards early in the first quarter, and his second touchdown catch went for 62 yards. He recorded 29 fantasy points that week. After Week 10 against the Minnesota Vikings (gaining 15 fantasy points), Davis never obtained more than 8.5 fantasy points in a single game.
Disadvantage for Gabe Davis going into the 2023 season
When the Bills drafted tight end Dalton Kincaid in the NFL draft this year, they added another weapon for Josh Allen. The factor about Kincaid is that he has the ability to take in receptions not just between the two twenty yard lines, but also in the red zone. Kincaid has been compared to playing like Travis Kelce, in which that means Kincaid could become a premier weapon in 2023 along with Stefon Diggs.
With Davis being inconsistent with getting separation and not fully establishing himself as the true number two target in the offense, the arrival of Kincaid could hurt Davis’ production.
Advantage for Gabe Davis going into the 2023 season
It comes down to two words…contract year. Davis will head into the final year of his rookie contract and there is no guarantee that he will receive a contract extension. Whether or not the Bills can or are willing to offer Davis an extension during the year or after the season, Davis will still be looking for his next contract no matter where it is. Players that go into their last season of their contracts typically stand out and produce more than they have in prior seasons.
With Davis set to hit the free agent market next offseason, the production is expected to increase which makes him a valuable fantasy pick.