2.) Mike Evans gets 100+ receiving yards against Bills defense
Tampa Bay’s number one wide receiver in Mike Evans is one of those players where he either makes an immediate impact for the Bucs’ offense, or is quiet for most of the game with the occasional one or two great catches. Evans only has one game with 100+ receiving yards this season (Week 2 vs. Chicago; 6 catches for 171 yards and a touchdown).
His lowest amount of receiving yards this year is 40 yards, in which he was only targeted 3 times in a dominant 26-9 win over the New Orleans Saints. Evans will have the opportunity to take on a Buffalo secondary in which the cornerbacks Christian Benford, Dane Jackson and Kaiir Elam on the outside have been liabilities since Week 4.
Losing Tre’Davious White was a massive loss in the secondary, which forced the Bills’ defense to adjust on the go as the game went on. Evans, who stands at 6 '5”, could easily win a jump ball if needed against this Bills’ secondary and be the x-factor for the Bucs’ offense. While the Bills’ defense has a favorable matchup overall because of the limitations of the Tampa Bay offense, Evans could be in for a big game and have one of his games where he goes off.
1.) Bills cover the spread, win by 10+ points
The Bills are coming into this game a -8.5 favorite and as the home team with home field advantage. The Bills have yet to lose at home this season, and have not lost back-to-back games since Week 10 of last year against the Minnesota Vikings.
Yes, the Bills have looked awful the last three weeks, but they are still 2-1, while the Bucs have lost their last two consecutive games and will travel to Orchard to take on a Buffalo team that is bruised and has their backs up against the wall at 4-3.