1.) Bills win by double digit points, cover the spread
The Steelers are 10-7 heading into this game, and 4 of their losses have come by 10 points or more. The teams that they have lost by double digit points include the San Francisco 49ers, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Indianapolis Colts. The 49ers and Texans are no surprises because of the mixture of overall roster talent, and great quarterback play by C.J. Stroud of the Texans. In Buffalo’s 11 wins on the year, they have 5 wins that were by 20+ points. The other 6 games were wins by no more than 7 points.
The Bills are a 10-point favorite against the Steelers and even though they have not been able to cover the spread in the second half of the season as much, they are still winning. When you add in home field advantage, the fact that Mason Rudolph is under center with no playoff experience, and the Bills do not need to worry about T.J. Watt, the Bills have a lot of factors in their favor.
The Bills find a way to take care of business without letting Pittsburgh build momentum and win by no less than 10 points.