This Sunday, the quest begins for the Buffalo Bills to get their hands on that coveted Lombardi Trophy.
The 2023 NFL Postseason is officially underway this weekend, and Buffalo opens with a familiar foe in the Wildcard Round.
The Bills take on the Miami Dolphins in Buffalo for their third matchup of the year. But, the Dolphins will be without Tua Tagovailoa for the first of these matchups. Instead, it’s going to be rookie Skylar Thompson under center for the Dolphins.
The combination of Thompson starting and Buffalo simply being an elite Super Bowl contender is going to be a recipe for utter disaster on Miami’s side.
The Buffalo Bills are going to obliterate the Miami Dolphins in the Wildcard Round.
The Bills have the NFL’s fourth-best run defense and ninth-best pass defense. They have had some question marks this year, sure, but all in all this has been a very good group. The Bills defense gets to take on Thompson this weekend, and let’s just say it could get ugly.
Let’s look at some numbers further in games where Thompson attempted more than 15 passes this season (3-game sample size):
39 points scored (13.0 PPG)
422 passing yards (140.7 YPG)
Under 5.0 yards passing per attempt
Now, let’s look at how the Bills offense stacks up.
The Bills are one of just two teams (Philadelphia) in the postseason to finish in the top 10 in both passing and rushing this season, finishing 7th in both categories. Overall, Buffalo possesses the number two offense in the league, averaging just under 400 yards per game.
Meanwhile, the Dolphins are giving up the sixth-most passing yards per game on the season. They get to take on one of the league’s best quarterbacks in Josh Allen, who loves throwing the ball deep and extending plays in order to make magic happen.
These two sides just simply don’t add up. It is a completely uneven and, quite frankly, unfair matchup. Sure, the Dolphins have some scary guys like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. But, it’ll take more than just two players to make a difference in a game like this. The Bills defense is too good, and Thompson is far too inexperienced for an occasion like this.
In terms of projections, I’ve got Allen throwing for 320-plus yards and multiple scores, with one on the ground. The Bills will end with over 450 yards of offense and beat the Dolphins by a final score of 30-13.