After a disappointing performance, especially by the offense, at home in Week 1, the Bills head down south to face the upstart Dolphins in an important divisional game in Week 2. The Bills remain the betting favorites to win the AFC East with -140 odds (bet $14 to win $10) on WynnBET but Miami is close behind (+250) after eeking out a one-point win over the Patriots to start the season.
The Bills can’t afford to fall two-game behind in the division race this early in the season so we’re expecting a battle performance from them in Week 2. But before we get to the prediction for this week, which we successfully called last week that the Steelers would cover the spread, let’s take a look at the odds.
Bills vs Dolphins Odds
Despite being on the road, the Bills are a 3-point favorite on the Dolphins at WynnBET, which means if you bet the Bills spread they have to win by more than three points.
On the moneyline, the Bills are -180 favorites, which means you have to bet $18 to win $10. It also means the implied probability of the Bills winning based on those odds is 64.3%.
The over/under (how many points the teams will combine to score) is 47.5, so if you’re taking the over you want them to score 48 points combined and the under is 47 points combined.
Bills vs Dolphins Prediction
Let’s not waste time here. I’m taking the Bills and I’m laying the points, which means I think the Bills win by more than three points. The reason is simple: Buffalo has Josh Allen and Miami has Tua Tagovailoa. In a battle of quarterbacks, I’m going Allen.
In his career against Miami, Allen is 5-1 with 17 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns against just 4 turnovers. In his one start against the Bills last year, Tagovailoa was picked off 3 times and the Bills won 56-26. I don’t see another 30-point blowout, but I do see a comfortable win.
Let’s not forget, while Miami won its season opener, it didn’t look great doing so. They were held to 17 points and Tua was picked off. Overall they were held to only 274 yards on offense while they gave up over 400 to the Patriots. Simply put, they got lucky to win.
Perhaps the Bills didn’t take the Steelers seriously enough at home in Week 1, or perhaps they were just outclassed. Whatever the reason, I think it was a wake-up call. Now fully focused and with a lot on the line, Buffalo should rise to the occasion.
Bills 30, Dolphins 20
Do you agree with this prediction? Make your pick now on WynnBET.