Buffalo Bills: Week 15 odds, lines and trends vs Denver Broncos

These are the odds, lines, and trends for the Buffalo Bills heading into Week 15.

The Buffalo Bills had another impressive win last week in defeating the Pittsburgh Steelers 26-15 in primetime. With the win came another Bills’ cover of the spread improving that record to 8-5. The over fell short by six points dropping that record to 9-4 but remaining profitable.

With the sportsbooks across the country locking in on spreads and totals for the NFL Week 15, the Action Network is reporting the spread to be Bills -6.5 with the over set at 50 points currently.

This week will mark the fifth attempt under head coach Sean McDermott in which the team tries for a four-game win streak. As of now, they are 1-3 in those games. Their only success came earlier this season when starting off 4-0. Later this season the team failed to get the fourth win in a row against the Arizona Cardinals after defeating the New York Jets, New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks prior to. The other two failed attempts both occurred in 2019. Dropping a Week 4 contest against the Patriots after a 3-0 start and against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 14 after wins over the Miami Dolphins, Denver Broncos, and Dallas Cowboys.

The current AFC East division leaders have only had one trip out to Denver in the past 10 years. In 2014, the team lost a 24-17 decision, but in doing so managed to cover the +8.5 spread while the over fell seven points short of cashing.

The Bills have played the Broncos twice under McDermott going 2-0. To go along with that the average win margin is 13.5 points. Matching those two wins are two wins against the spread (ATS). The over is 1-1.

Before analyzing the Broncos 2020 trends, an examination of the teams success under McDermott playing on natural grass showed this game could be a toss-up if you believe the playing surface matters. With the Broncos using the beautiful Kentucky bluegrass as their natural grass, it was found that the Bills are 8-7 playing on the grass with the over also 8-7. Covering the spread is 9-5-1. These games were obviously all road games.

Denver Broncos trends since 2017 (McDermott era)

Since 2017, the Broncos are 26-33-2 ATS, and cashing the over is 25-36. Playing at home they are 12-16-2 ATS and the over is 11-19. Playing as home underdogs they are 10-7 ATS with an over record of 6-11.

Against fellow AFC conference opponents, the team is 20-24-1 ATS and the over is 16-29. Neither of those betting scenarios is profitable for Broncos backers.

With a Broncos win on Saturday they will sweep the AFC East this season. Before this season they were 1-5 against the AFC East.