Buffalo Bills: Recap of the odds, lines and trends over first 10 weeks
By Jason Mattis
These are some of the odds, lines, and trends from the first 10 weeks of the season for the Buffalo Bills.
As the Buffalo Bills enter their bye week they have done a tremendous job so far securing a 7-3 record. Some games have looked easy while others have been nail-biters. After ten games in the season so far there are some interesting betting trends developing as well that you’ll want to know before the remaining six games are played.
Accompanying their 7-3 record, the Bills are 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 on the overs in 2020. The successful overs have cleared the mark by an average of nine points. The two times the over failed to hit was by an average of 15 points.
The team has performed better as underdogs going 2-1 in both the spread and over. When the spreads were by a field goal the team covered both of those. The miss on the spread and over were in the same game against the Kansas City Chiefs.
When favorites, the team is 3-4 on the spread, but 6-1 on the over. The only time the spread was by more than one score they failed to cover, which was a 9.5 spread against the New York Jets in Week 7. That game also was the one the over failed to hit as well.
The team is performing slightly better at home against the spread going 3-2 versus 2-3 on the road. The over is 4-1 in both playing at home and on the road.
While struggling to cover the spread against AFC teams at 2-5, the over is 5-2. When battling the NFC however they are perfect in both at 3-0.
In primetime, this season against the Chiefs and Tennessee Titans the Bills are 0-2 against the spread and 1-1 on the over.
Nothing is more important than divisional games and in those matchups, the team is 1-3 against the spread while 3-1 on the over. Against the other AFC opponents, the Buffalo Bills are 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 on the over.
These trends are helpful as the remaining schedule has one NFC team, 2 divisional games, and 2 AFC conference games. The Buffalo Bills will play three games at home and on the road in the final six games. As of now, the team has three primetime games on the schedule with the possibility of a fourth should the league flex schedule the matchup against the Denver Broncos on Saturday.
First up after the bye is a home game against the Los Angeles Chargers. Check back next week for a breakdown of the odds and lines for that matchup once that information is available to us from the sportsbooks across the country.