Buffalo Bills: Week 7 odds, lines and trends vs New York Jets
By Jason Mattis
This is a closer look at the odds and trends for the Buffalo Bills entering Week 7 against the New York Jets.
Coming off Monday nights loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, the Buffalo Bills dropped to 3-3 on covering the spread. Cashing the over saw its first defeat, as well as the teams, didn’t put up nearly enough points in the rainy conditions of Western New York.
For this week the Bills will be headed into unchartered water under the Sean McDermott era. With the sportsbooks across the country locking in on spreads and totals for the NFL Week 7, the Action Network is reporting the spread to be -11. The over comes in at 46.
Let’s analyze this week’s numbers and see how similar numbers have played out over the past few seasons versus the New York Jets.
Buffalo Bills’ trends under head coach Sean McDermott
Never before have the Bills been this big of a favorite under McDermott and it’s also the first double-digit affair as well. The previous high back in 2019 against the Miami Dolphins saw them as 7.5 favorites. The Bills won the game, covered the spread, as well as cashed the over in that game.
They have been road favorites seven times winning five of those. Cashing the over matches a 5-2 record, but covering the spread is 4-3 in those seven games.
In 2017 against the Jets the Buffalo Bills lost the game, they didn’t cover the spread, and cashed the over. It was the only appearance as road favorites versus the Jets during this time frame.
New York Jets trends since 2017
The Jets have been home underdogs 21 times going 12-8-1 covering the spread. Twice they were dogs by double digits and failed to cover the spread in either in defeat. The over failed to cash in both of those as well. File it in the for what it’s worth category, the New England Patriots were the opponents in those two games.
A profitable 57 percent of the overs have cashed since 2017 when faced with being home underdogs.