Buffalo Bills: Week 3 odds, lines and trends vs Los Angeles Rams
By Jason Mattis
This is a breakdown of the trends around the odds for the Buffalo Bills heading into their Week 3 matchup against the Los Angeles Rams.
The NFL action rolls into its third week and the sportsbooks across the country have revealed the odds for Week 3. According to The Action Network, the Buffalo Bills are favored by three points while the Over/Under is set at 44.5.
Let’s analyze those numbers and see how similar numbers have played out over the past few seasons versus the Rams.
Buffalo Bills trends under head coach Sean McDermott
In the four seasons under McDermott, the Bills have been favored at home by three points or less five times. Covering the spread they are 2-2-1 in those scenarios. Two of those point spreads were three points, which is the line for this week, and the Bills went 1-0-1. However, the Bills won both of those games in 2017 beating the Miami Dolphins 24-16 and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30-27.
Overall, when playing at home as three point or less favorites they are 4-1 on the money line only losing to the Philadelphia Eagles during the 2019 season in Week 8.
When looking at the Over of 44.5 and comparing to games between 40-45 under the McDermott era with the Bills being the home favorite the Over has hit two of five times. The same Eagles game that the Bills lost and a matchup against the Dolphins later in the 2019 season were the over hits at 40 and 43. The under hits were a 40, 43, and 42.5 against the Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, and New York Jets.
Los Angeles Rams trends since 2017 (McDermott era)
The Rams have been road underdogs of three points or less four times since 2017. They have covered the spread twice going 2-1-1. They have never been road underdogs by three points rather the greatest spread was +2 which they covered. Overall, in this scenario, the Rams have gone 2-2 on the money line when road underdogs by three points.
When the Rams go on the road as underdogs and the over between 40 and 45 the Rams are 2-0 cashing the over both times.