Buffalo Bills: Reviewing the over/under for season win total

How the Buffalo Bills season win total looks against what oddsmakers say.

The love is being cast upon the Buffalo Bills this offseason from everywhere. The NFL showed love by awarding the Bills four primetime games. They’re even gushing with more love given the possibility of a fifth game depending on what the league does with the Broncos game. Pundits across the nation are showering the Bills with tons of praise and love as well.

The consensus of the sportsbooks on The Action Network has also noticed and reacted with a high season win total. The Buffalo Bills cracked the Top 10 in win totals at nine and are tied for tenth with three other teams at nine wins.

The over is priced at -107 while the under comes in at -112 as of Monday afternoon. Nine wins is a respectable number and goes to show how good this team can be. This is a review of the Buffalo Bills schedule and where the wins maybe this season.

Buffalo Bills Week 1 – New York Jets (Home)

This should be a fairly easy win for the Buffalo Bills. They return virtually everything from last season while adding a true number one wide receiver. Meanwhile, the Jets have traded their best defensive player, Jamal Adams, and had their next best player, C.J. Mosley, opt-out of the season.

There is no better example to what Mosley means to the Jets defense than Week 1 of the 2019 season when the Jets had a double-digit lead. However, once he left the game due to an injury, the Bills were able to storm back for a win. In the end, it should be a comfortable win for the home team.

1-0 (W)

Buffalo Bills Week 2 – Miami Dolphins (Away)

This too should be a win but will prove to be more of a challenge. While the Dolphins appear to be headed in the right direction with their rebuild, the Bills are further into theirs’ and it shows throughout the 53-man roster. Unlike the Dolphins’ Week 1 opponent, the Bills will know who is under center prior to game time.

2-0 (W) 

Buffalo Bills Week 3 – Los Angeles Rams (Home) 

The times have clearly changed as just two years ago this would have been an easy Rams pick. Both sides of the ball were clicking for them all the way to a Super Bowl run. However, now with both sides showing weaknesses, this appears to be an easy Bills pick. The Bills are hoping to be those Rams from a couple of years back and it will include a win at home.

3-0 (W)

Buffalo Bills Week 4 – Las Vegas Raiders (Away)

While the Raiders have improved it isn’t to the level of the Bills. The silver and black are competing for a wild card spot, while the blue and red are battling for a division title.

4-0 (W)

Buffalo Bills Week 5 – Tennessee Titans (Away)

This will be a strong test for the Buffalo Bills to see where they stand amongst AFC contenders as they battle the Titans. Ryan Tannehill should be under center this time making the matchup that much harder than last year’s game. This one feels like a toss-up and the edge goes to the home team.

4-1 (L)

Buffalo Bills Week 6 – Kansas City Chiefs (Home)

If fans are in attendance the Buffalo Bills could have the upper hand, but without the Chiefs will probably be able to win. Bills also will have the tougher previous week matchup on a short week hindering their chances.

4-2 (L) 

Buffalo Bills Week 7 – New York Jets (Away)

Six weeks later and not much should change in this matchup besides the venue.

5-2 (W)

Buffalo Bills Week 8 – New England Patriots (Home)

A chance for the Bills to announce to everyone that the division is theirs. This is a huge game for the Bills to overcome the mental hurdle of losing to the Patriots.  Without Tom Brady under center, this opportunity can’t be wasted.

6-2 (W)

Buffalo Bills Week 9 – Seattle Seahawks (Home)

Buffalo Bills nation will be hoping by November fans are allowed back into stadiums as the team will need the boost they can provide. For a fairly even matchup, the fans could be the winning edge, however without this one is a toss-up.

6-3 (L)

Buffalo Bills Week 10 – Arizona Cardinals (Away)

While the Cardinals can scare you on offense, it is their defense that could be holding them back. Tre’Davious White will once again be matched up against DeAndre Hopkins in what is an elite matchup. The Bills offense better be clicking as this one could be high scoring.

7-3 (W)

Buffalo Bills Week 12 – Los Angeles Chargers (Home)

Will the Bills see Tyrod Taylor or rookie Justin Herbert? The Bills defense should be able to handle a quarterback they know well or the rookie.

8-3 (W)

Buffalo Bills Week 13 – San Francisco 49ers (Away)

Hopefully fans don’t mind a defensive game as two of the top defenses in the league meet up on Monday Night Football. A late turnover could be the difference when points will be at a premium.

8-4 (L)

Buffalo Bills Week 14 – Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)

The Buffalo Bills will likely have to compete against Ben Roethlisberger this season, unlike last year when the franchise quarterback was out due to injury. Overall though it feels like the Bills have a deeper and more complete roster.

9-4 (W)

Buffalo Bills Week 15 – Denver Broncos (Away)

If the Bills are unable to snatch the division from the Patriots then this will be a huge matchup for Wild Card purposes. The Broncos have improved this offseason and playing in Denver is never easy. If the Bills can keep Von Miller off the stat sheet then perhaps they can escape with a victory.

10-4 (W)

Buffalo Bills Week 16 – New England Patriots (Away)

Will the division be on the line? What a Monday night this could be if so. For the Buffalo Bills, it would be a late Christmas present to leave Gillette Stadium with the AFC East crown.

10-5 (L)

Buffalo Bills Week 17 – Miami Dolphins (Home)

If the starters are still playing then this should be a win. Perhaps at this point in the season, the Dolphins will have turned to rookie Tua Tagovailoa.

11-5 (W)

When looking at the Buffalo Bills schedule, it isn’t hard to imagine this team finishing with 11 wins this season. It is a long season though and injuries can always play a major role in deciding future bets.