Dec 8, 2013; Tampa, FL, USA; Buffalo Bills defensive end Mario Williams (94) prior to the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Does Mario Williams Break Bruce's Record?

Mario Williams ended his 8th season in the NFL this year.  He is also 29 years old today (January 31st).  Where does Super Mario stand in relationship to breaking Bruce Smith’s all-time sack record of 200?

As of right now, Williams is sitting with 76.5 sacks.  He is 3.5 sacks away from 80.  There are currently 12 active players ahead of Williams with more sacks.  Unfortunately, there are more retired players added into the mix as well.  The player listed at 10th in sacks for his career is San Diego Charger Leslie O’Neal with 132.5 sacks.  Williams is 56 sacks away from reaching Leslie O’Neal and 10th place.  He would then need 67.5 sacks to catch up to and tie Bruce Smith at number 1, with 68 sacks breaking Smith’s record and giving Williams 200.5 on his career.

If we look at Williams’ average sacks per year, we see that Williams has been averaging over his 8 years 9.56 sacks per year. We can round to 10 to be generous.  So if Williams is averaging 10 sacks a year and is 56 from O’Neal and another 67.5 from Bruce, Williams would need 123.5 sacks total.  Williams, as I said earlier has now turned 29.  If he continues to average 10 sacks a year he would need to play for a minimum of 12.5 years to break Smith’s record which would put him at the rip old age of 41.

Realistically, I don’t think that Williams will play until 41.  I can see him in the 36 to 37 year range, like John Abraham is at this point.  If we look at him retiring in 8 more years, which would put him at 37, Williams would have to average just under 15.5 sacks a year (15.43).

Is it doable, Williams would need to have a big year or two, sooner than later to help him self out.  Maybe a Strahan-like year when he was 29 and had 22.5 sacks in a single year.  That would start things off nicely for Schwartz and the Buffalo Bills defense next year.

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Tags: Bruce Smith Buffalo Bills Mario Williams Sack Record

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