Did the Buffalo Bills sink or swin in the 2010 draft

I know it is 2013 and I know that the headline is referring to the 2010 draft.  We are doing a ‘where are they know’ type of a look at the 2010 draft and whether or not the Buffalo Bills were winners or losers.

Doug Kitts re-looked at the 2010 draft and mathematically analyzed the the picks for every team and graded them based on where they are now.

In 2010 the Buffalo Bills started their draft out with CJ Spiller.  They then went defense drafting Troup and Carrington.  Easley and Ed Wang rounded out the first five picks for the Bills.  The Bills had 4 picks in the last two rounds and drafted Moats, Batten, Levi Brown, and Kyle Calloway.

The chart below is the draft information for the Buffalo Bills and the scores that Kitts used to come up with his grade.


Player School Position Pick(Rd) Raw Score Weighted Score Draft Value
CJ Spiller Clemson RB 9(1) 13.71 14.03 -61.00
Torell Troup UCF DT 41(2) 5.33 5.88 -132.00
Alex Carrington Arkansas State DE 72(3) 9.83 11.64 -44.00
Marcus Easley Connecticut WR 107(4) 0.63 0.80 -120.00
Ed Wang Virginia Tech OT 140(5) 1.25 1.70 -74.00
Arthur Moats James Madison DE 178(6) 10.82 15.73 75.00
Danny Batten S.D. State LB 192(6) 5.83 8.69 23.00
Levi Brown Troy QB 209(7) 0.21 0.32 -28.00
Kyle Calloway Iowa OT 216(7) 0.00 0.00 -33.00
  • Total Raw Score: 47.61 (28th)
  • Total Weighted Score: 58.78 (28th)
  • Average Raw Score: 5.29 (32nd)
  • Average Weighted Score: 6.53 (32nd)
  • Total Draft Value: -394 (32nd)
  • Average Draft Value: -43.78 (32nd)

Analysis:  Overall the Bills 2010 draft offered very little value.  Spiller has provided decent offense but has been relegated to a change of pace back.  Normally a running back taken in the top ten overall is expected to be a full time starter and contributor.   A back injury has derailed a promising start to Troup’s career.  Carrington is part time role player which is poor value for a 3rd round pick.  Arthur Moats is the only other player to see much time.  It’s hard to imagine many drafts not even producing one full time starter three years later but the Bills have somehow done it.

To see how Doug Kitts came to his final answer about the draft and his mathematical analysis check out this link for the explanation.




















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